I am a Senior Researcher at the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI). I have led the institute’s Global Trends research project since 2014. My research interests are international security, defence planning, and prediction. I obtained my MA (Conflict, Security & Development) and BA (War Studies) from King’s College London. Currently writing my PhD at the University of Oslo. My thesis explores the potential for predicting events in world politics months and years ahead. [Norwegian]